Padova vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
PAD
2 - 1
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
UDI
0 - 0
PAD
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAD
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
PAD
1 - 3
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAD
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIC
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1957 |
RMA
2 - 0
FIO
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
FIO
0 - 1
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 0
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
FIO
3 - 1
INT
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |