Padova vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAD
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
PAD
0 - 1
NOV
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1950 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAD
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
PAD
0 - 1
TRI
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
FIO
2 - 0
ASL
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1950 |
FIO
0 - 1
COM
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
INT
4 - 2
FIO
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
FIO
3 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |