Padova vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 2
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAD
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
PAD
2 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAZ
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
GEN
7 - 1
PAD
71%
16%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
FIO
2 - 0
NOV
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
0 - 0
FIO
41%
25%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
FIO
1 - 0
SAM
58%
19%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
JUV
3 - 2
FIO
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
FIO
0 - 3
PAL
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |