Padova vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1934 |
PAD
2 - 0
TRI
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAD
49%
23%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 1
PAD
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
PAD
0 - 0
BOL
31%
25%
45%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1934 |
GEN
1 - 2
FIO
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
FIO
1 - 0
INT
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
FIO
2 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
LAZ
2 - 2
FIO
38%
24%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
FIO
2 - 2
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |