Padova vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
LEO
3 - 1
PAD
52%
21%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
PAD
4 - 1
PRO
62%
20%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
NAP
1 - 1
PAD
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
ROM
39%
24%
38%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAD
71%
15%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOL
40%
23%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
NAP
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 4
FIO
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
FIO
0 - 1
TRI
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
INT
3 - 1
FIO
75%
13%
12%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |