Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 3-5
Padova vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
FIA
2 - 1
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
PES
1 - 2
PAD
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
PAD
1 - 1
COS
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
BAR
3 - 1
PAD
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
FIA
2 - 1
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
FIA
0 - 2
JUV
14%
24%
63%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
FIA
3 - 0
USF
27%
25%
49%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
GEN
2 - 0
FIA
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
FIA
1 - 0
CES
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |