Padova vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 6
PAD
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 1
FAN
72%
20%
9%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
IMO
1 - 1
PAD
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 1
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 1
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
SSS
22%
25%
54%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
FCS
22%
29%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
LEG
50%
27%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |