Padova vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CES
3 - 1
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 0
PAD
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ADB
0 - 1
PAD
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 2
SAS
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAD
0 - 1
VIC
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
ACD
64%
20%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FER
2 - 0
ASD
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VER
2 - 2
FER
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
TER
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |