Padova vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 0
ACL
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
2 - 0
PIA
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 1
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 2
BV5
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAV
2 - 1
FCS
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 1
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ABN
0 - 1
FCS
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PES
2 - 0
FCS
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |