Padova vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
ARZ
2 - 1
PAD
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
PAD
1 - 3
RIM
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
ROM
4 - 2
PAD
95%
4%
1%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
PAD
0 - 0
ARZ
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
PAD
0 - 2
ACM
30%
22%
49%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 0
PIS
54%
28%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
BAR
0 - 0
FCC
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
JUV
1 - 0
FCC
84%
12%
4%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
FCC
2 - 0
TAR
65%
23%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |