Padova vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAD
36%
30%
34%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
PAD
0 - 0
UDI
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 0
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
FCC
3 - 1
PAL
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 0
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 2
USF
46%
22%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
TRI
1 - 0
FCC
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
CAG
1 - 0
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |