Padova vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAD
20%
26%
55%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ATL
3 - 0
PAD
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAG
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
PIA
4 - 0
PAD
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
PAD
2 - 3
UDI
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ACM
2 - 0
EMP
78%
16%
6%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
EMP
1 - 1
ACM
16%
28%
56%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
EMP
1 - 0
REG
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
FIO
2 - 0
EMP
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
EMP
1 - 2
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |