Padova vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
PAD
2 - 2
USC
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
PAL
1 - 3
PAD
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
USF
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PAD
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
CAS
0 - 2
EMP
41%
30%
30%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
RAV
1 - 0
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
CAS
0 - 0
CHI
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAL
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
USC
2 - 1
CAS
72%
18%
9%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |