Padova vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
PAD
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 3
PIS
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 1
ALZ
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 1
PAD
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 3
ABN
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARZ
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 0
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
ACP
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |