Padova vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
REG
3 - 2
PAD
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPA
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ACL
5 - 1
PAD
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
PAD
2 - 1
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 2
ABN
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARZ
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |