Padova vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAD
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 3
PAD
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 0
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 2
PAD
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
REG
1 - 2
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
CAR
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
GIU
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
JUS
1 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 3
CAR
18%
25%
58%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |