Padova vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
PAD
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PAD
3 - 1
ASS
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
USC
0 - 1
PAD
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 3
RAV
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 1
PRO
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
41%
29%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACL
40%
29%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
REG
2 - 1
LEC
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 0
PER
33%
30%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |