Padova vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1964 |
ASS
0 - 1
PAD
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAD
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1964 |
PAD
0 - 0
PAR
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
REG
0 - 0
PAD
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
PAD
0 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1965 |
LEC
3 - 0
SAM
48%
24%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAR
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
NAP
0 - 0
LEC
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
LEC
3 - 2
BAR
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAL
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +2 |