Padova vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
COS
0 - 0
PAD
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
MES
2 - 1
PAD
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
PAD
2 - 0
SSS
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
PAD
3 - 2
UDI
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
COM
0 - 2
PAD
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
LEC
2 - 1
UDI
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
CAG
0 - 0
LEC
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
LEC
4 - 2
ASL
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
BAR
1 - 1
LEC
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |