Padova vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ROM
3 - 1
PAD
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
VNZ
0 - 0
PAD
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 2
FIO
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 1
ACM
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
LEC
0 - 1
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
LEC
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1961 |
LEC
2 - 1
UDI
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
LEC
1 - 1
SAM
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 0
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |