Padova vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
PIA
4 - 0
PAD
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
PAD
2 - 3
UDI
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
INT
8 - 2
PAD
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
PAD
1 - 2
ROM
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
FIO
6 - 4
PAD
78%
14%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
CAG
0 - 0
INT
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
CAG
2 - 0
VIC
52%
27%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAG
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
CAG
1 - 2
ACM
24%
28%
48%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
CAG
0 - 0
PIA
56%
26%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |