Padova vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
PES
1 - 1
PAD
58%
26%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
PAD
1 - 0
EMP
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAD
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
PAD
0 - 0
CAM
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAD
47%
30%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
CAM
51%
30%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
ARZ
0 - 2
CAG
42%
33%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAR
53%
28%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAG
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |