Padova vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
PAD
3 - 3
ATP
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
SIR
0 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
PAD
2 - 0
ASL
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
CAT
3 - 0
PAD
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
PAD
2 - 0
ACM
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAG
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 1
FAN
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
CAG
6 - 0
VER
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ASL
3 - 4
CAG
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |