Padova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
ASL
2 - 2
PAD
47%
31%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
PAD
2 - 1
COS
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
ROM
1 - 0
PAD
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
VIC
1 - 1
PAD
37%
32%
31%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
BAR
4 - 0
BRE
41%
30%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
BRE
3 - 1
ANC
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
USC
0 - 2
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
ASC
4 - 4
BRE
47%
28%
26%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |