Padova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
23.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAD
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
PAD
0 - 0
LIC
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 1
PAD
58%
26%
15%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 0
MES
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAD
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
BRE
4 - 0
SSB
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
COS
2 - 0
BRE
54%
28%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
REG
0 - 0
BRE
44%
32%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
FCC
56%
28%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 2
BRE
55%
28%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |