Padova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
PRO
1 - 1
PAD
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASS
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 3
PAD
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
VER
1 - 1
PAD
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
PAD
4 - 0
TRI
67%
19%
15%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
UDI
0 - 0
BRE
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 2
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 1
BRE
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
BRE
0 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |