Padova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
PAD
3 - 1
CAT
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
SAM
1 - 0
PAD
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 0
PAD
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
PAD
0 - 2
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
VIC
1 - 0
PAD
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 1
NAP
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
USA
1 - 0
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BRE
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |