Padova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
PAD
1 - 0
VIC
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
PAD
2 - 1
VNZ
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
VIC
2 - 1
PAD
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
VNZ
3 - 5
PAD
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
VIC
0 - 1
BRE
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
VNZ
4 - 0
BRE
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 1
VIC
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |