Padova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
VER
1 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
PAD
1 - 0
CAG
57%
22%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 0
PAD
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 2
PAR
40%
22%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
ACM
0 - 1
PAD
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 0
MOD
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
BRE
3 - 0
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
BRE
3 - 0
TAR
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
VER
1 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
BRE
4 - 1
ACM
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |