Padova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
PAD
2 - 0
NAP
55%
22%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
PAD
1 - 3
TOR
45%
24%
30%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
ASL
1 - 3
PAD
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
PAD
6 - 1
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
PAD
6 - 1
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
BRE
2 - 1
SAV
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
TOR
5 - 2
BRE
80%
13%
8%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
BRE
4 - 2
ATL
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 2
BRE
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
BRE
3 - 1
USA
50%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |