Padova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 1
PAD
70%
16%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
PAD
0 - 0
BOL
31%
25%
45%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LEO
4 - 0
PAD
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
PAD
0 - 0
ACM
33%
22%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAD
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
BRE
3 - 1
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
USA
1 - 0
BRE
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
BRE
4 - 0
FIO
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 0
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
BRE
3 - 0
ACM
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |