Padova vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
UDI
1 - 0
PAD
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
PAD
2 - 1
JUV
24%
22%
55%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
LEC
0 - 0
PAD
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
NAP
1 - 2
PAD
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 0
JUV
22%
21%
57%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
BOL
0 - 3
FIO
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
LEC
2 - 2
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
BOL
4 - 4
SAM
49%
22%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
LEC
2 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |