Padova vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAZ
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 2
PAD
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
USA
0 - 0
PAD
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
PAD
1 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
FIO
1 - 0
PAD
78%
14%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
BOL
0 - 3
ACM
40%
24%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
BOL
4 - 1
NAP
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
UDI
1 - 0
BOL
40%
24%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
ROM
1 - 2
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |