Padova vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
PRO
1 - 0
PAD
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
PAD
3 - 1
ROM
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
INT
5 - 1
PAD
81%
12%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAD
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
PAD
2 - 2
TOR
29%
22%
49%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
BOL
2 - 0
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
PAL
1 - 1
BOL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
NAP
4 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |