Padova vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAZ
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
GEN
7 - 1
PAD
71%
16%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
PAD
3 - 5
ACM
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAD
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
PAD
3 - 2
BRE
61%
20%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 0
PRO
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
GEN
7 - 2
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |