Padova vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
ROM
8 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
PAD
3 - 0
NAP
22%
20%
58%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAD
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 2
TRI
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
USC
1 - 1
PAD
42%
23%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 0
NAP
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
BOL
4 - 2
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
USA
3 - 3
BOL
41%
22%
37%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
TRI
1 - 1
BOL
29%
24%
47%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
BOL
6 - 1
BRE
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |