Padova vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
38%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
REG
2 - 0
PAD
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
PAD
0 - 0
USF
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAD
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
PAD
0 - 0
VER
30%
32%
38%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAD
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
USC
1 - 0
ASC
42%
30%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
ASC
2 - 1
UDI
55%
26%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
PES
0 - 0
ASC
41%
30%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
ASC
0 - 0
REG
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASC
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |