Padova vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 0
PIS
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
PAD
0 - 1
GEN
47%
23%
30%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 2
PAD
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PAD
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 1
CAM
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 2
LAZ
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 0
ROM
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
PIS
0 - 0
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
GEN
0 - 0
VAR
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
FCC
1 - 2
VAR
49%
29%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |