Padova vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
PAD
0 - 1
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
PAD
1 - 1
POT
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
PAD
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
PAD
46%
29%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
PAD
1 - 1
SAL
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
FCC
2 - 1
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAV
72%
20%
9%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
MES
1 - 1
VAR
33%
31%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |