Padova vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
4 - 2
USF
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAD
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
2 - 1
VIC
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
PAD
0 - 3
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 1
VNZ
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
BAR
1 - 3
BRE
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
BAR
2 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
MOD
3 - 1
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
BAR
3 - 1
NOV
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |