Padova vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
VNZ
0 - 8
PAD
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
PAD
2 - 0
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAD
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRO
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAD
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BAR
0 - 0
NOV
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 5
TOR
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
VNZ
2 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
LAZ
4 - 2
BAR
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |