Padova vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
RAV
1 - 0
PAD
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
PAD
3 - 2
CHI
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
PRG
1 - 3
PAD
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
VNZ
3 - 0
PAD
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
ANC
0 - 0
VER
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
PRG
1 - 1
ANC
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
ANC
4 - 4
TRE
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
FIA
1 - 1
ANC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
ANC
2 - 3
REG
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |