Padova vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1991 |
ATL
3 - 1
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
SAL
0 - 0
PAD
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
PAD
1 - 0
SAL
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
ASL
2 - 1
PAD
49%
29%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
PAD
4 - 3
SSB
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
TOR
4 - 1
ANC
77%
15%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
SSB
0 - 1
ANC
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 0
SSB
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
COS
2 - 1
ANC
43%
28%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |