Padova vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 2
PAD
31%
30%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 2
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NAP
2 - 1
PAD
53%
27%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 1
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 1
PAD
43%
28%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
RIM
0 - 0
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
VIS
2 - 0
REG
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
REG
1 - 0
BEN
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 2
REG
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |