Padova vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
ALZ
3 - 2
PAD
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASL
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ABN
1 - 1
PAD
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
ARZ
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
REG
0 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
ACP
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
REG
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
TRE
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VAR
2 - 2
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
REG
0 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |