Padova vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
REG
3 - 1
PAD
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAD
45%
30%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
VIC
2 - 0
PAD
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
FCC
0 - 0
PAD
43%
30%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
PAD
2 - 0
PRO
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
REG
2 - 0
POT
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
REG
1 - 1
MES
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
REG
1 - 1
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
VER
3 - 0
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |