Padova vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
SSS
2 - 1
PAD
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPE
39%
27%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
TER
2 - 2
PAD
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
PAD
0 - 1
PAV
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAD
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 4
PES
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
PAV
3 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
PIZ
2 - 0
PAV
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PAV
4 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
PAD
0 - 1
PAV
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |