Padova vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ACL
2 - 2
PAD
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 1
RAV
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PIZ
3 - 0
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 0
SAL
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
RAV
3 - 0
ASS
48%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPE
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 0
ASS
37%
28%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |