Padova vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAD
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PAD
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 2
NAP
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 1
USA
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
BAR
5 - 2
PAD
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
VER
1 - 2
ACM
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 2
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 0
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 0
TRI
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
VNZ
0 - 1
ACM
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |