Padova vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
PAD
0 - 1
VER
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
PAD
62%
20%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
PAD
2 - 2
FAN
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 0
PAD
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAV
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
TRE
1 - 1
ACM
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ACM
0 - 1
COM
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 1
ASS
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACM
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |